Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: −11 points at 23:38 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: 2026 MLB playoffs: Winners and losers as Guardians stave off elimination vs. White Sox — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 04:46 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 13% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 9% |
| 3 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 11% |
| 1 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 9% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Braves are eliminated before securing that title. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card series for the decisive event, but only the final winner of the NLCS counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →