Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Implied probability 100%+68
24-hour volume$1.2M
Total volume$2.2M
Liquidity$72k
Resolves4 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins the 2026 South Carolina Senate election, including any run-offs. It resolves to No if a Republican or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline for Election Day, but the market waits until the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%