Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 15:42 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 07:03 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 09:32 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 04:04 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 05:57 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 24% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 37% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 09:43 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 36% |
| 23 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 37% |
What counts
The market resolves based on which team wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If the Tampa Bay Rays win, the outcome is "Yes"; if they lose or are eliminated before winning, it is "No." Readers often mistakenly think the linked story about new uniforms affects the resolution, but only the actual World Series winner matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →