Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$542
Total volume$12.3M
Liquidity$443k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pete Buttigieg wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, based on a consensus of official party sources. The outcome is No for all other cases. Readers often mistake early polling or surrogate appearances for an actual nomination.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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