Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
The market favoured Atlanta Braves at 50% a day out, but Los Angeles Dodgers won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$45k
Total volume$52k
Liquidity$280k
Resolved10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 97% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 50% |
What counts
The Los Angeles Dodgers outcome wins only if they beat the Atlanta Braves by two runs or more in their scheduled game. The Atlanta Braves outcome wins if they win, tie, or if the game is canceled without a makeup. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, but the market stays open until the postponed game finishes, not just the original start time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Los Angeles Dodgers 100%
- Atlanta Braves 0%
View this market on Polymarket →