Will Atlanta Braves advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
The market favoured No at 50% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$0
Resolved5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 98% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 93% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 85% |
| 2 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 52% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 52% |
| 1 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 22:59 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 16:52 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 15:31 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 76% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 08:57 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 05:45 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 04:13 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 73% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 72% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 62% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 57% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 57% |
| 28 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 57% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Atlanta Braves reach the National League Division Series in the 2026 playoffs. The outcome is No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or delayed past October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card series for the resolution event, but only reaching the NLDS counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →