Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?
Implied probability 6%+1
24-hour volume$382
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$997
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 11% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 7% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 19:14 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 18:01 UTC | 11% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Meta's public market capitalization falls between $2.00 trillion and $2.25 trillion at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of October 2026. It resolves to No if the value is outside that range or if Meta ceases to exist as an independent entity before that date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%
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