Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?
The market favoured No at 80% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$246k
Liquidity$24k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 23% |
| 14 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 45% |
| 13 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 48% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 49% |
| 13 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 18% |
| 13 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 20% |
| 10 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 05:59 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Oct, 00:19 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 17% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Erick Visconde defeats Ilias Bulaid by knockout or technical knockout, including referee, doctor, or corner stoppages. The outcome is No if the fight ends in a draw, disqualification, no contest, or if it is canceled or postponed beyond October 13, 2026. Readers often mistake the resolution source, which relies on official UFC information rather than unofficial reports.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →