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Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Resolved: Yes 50d ago

The market favoured Yes at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$206k
Total volume$548k
Liquidity$0
Resolved18 Sept 2026
How the odds moved · Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
0%50%100%100%12 Sept, 18:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
18 Sept, 03:06 UTC100%
18 Sept, 02:12 UTC100%
18 Sept, 01:10 UTC100%
17 Sept, 22:21 UTC100%
17 Sept, 17:20 UTC100%
17 Sept, 11:23 UTC100%
17 Sept, 08:13 UTC100%
17 Sept, 07:02 UTC100%
17 Sept, 06:31 UTC100%
17 Sept, 05:19 UTC100%
17 Sept, 03:53 UTC100%
17 Sept, 02:52 UTC100%
17 Sept, 01:27 UTC100%
17 Sept, 00:33 UTC99%
16 Sept, 23:31 UTC100%
16 Sept, 22:01 UTC99%
16 Sept, 21:45 UTC99%
16 Sept, 20:50 UTC99%
16 Sept, 20:24 UTC99%
16 Sept, 19:54 UTC98%
16 Sept, 18:25 UTC98%
16 Sept, 17:55 UTC98%
16 Sept, 10:18 UTC98%
16 Sept, 04:26 UTC98%
15 Sept, 17:55 UTC98%
15 Sept, 11:31 UTC98%
15 Sept, 10:17 UTC98%
15 Sept, 07:59 UTC98%
15 Sept, 07:06 UTC98%
15 Sept, 03:24 UTC98%
15 Sept, 00:56 UTC98%
14 Sept, 23:08 UTC98%
14 Sept, 22:44 UTC98%
14 Sept, 22:27 UTC98%
14 Sept, 21:12 UTC97%
14 Sept, 20:55 UTC98%
14 Sept, 19:38 UTC98%
14 Sept, 17:20 UTC98%
14 Sept, 15:58 UTC98%
14 Sept, 15:25 UTC98%
14 Sept, 14:57 UTC98%
14 Sept, 13:42 UTC98%
14 Sept, 07:32 UTC98%
14 Sept, 07:17 UTC99%
14 Sept, 06:20 UTC98%
14 Sept, 03:50 UTC98%
14 Sept, 03:00 UTC99%
13 Sept, 23:20 UTC98%
13 Sept, 22:38 UTC99%
13 Sept, 20:17 UTC99%
13 Sept, 10:05 UTC99%
13 Sept, 09:44 UTC98%
13 Sept, 03:41 UTC98%
12 Sept, 20:59 UTC98%
12 Sept, 19:45 UTC98%
12 Sept, 19:21 UTC98%
12 Sept, 18:59 UTC98%

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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