Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
The market favoured No at 65% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved30 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 8% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 41% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 45% |
| 29 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 41% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 19% |
What counts
The market resolves based on the total count of Donald Trump's main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts on Truth Social between October 23 at 12:00 PM ET and October 30 at 12:00 PM ET, 2026. Replies do not count unless they appear on his main feed, and deleted posts count if they remain visible for about five minutes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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