Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
The market favoured 76ers at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$464k
Total volume$465k
Liquidity$50k
Resolved22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 22 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 50% |
What counts
The market resolves to "76ers" if Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 points, and to "Cavaliers" if Cleveland loses by 2.5 points or fewer, or wins outright. The final score includes overtime periods. Readers often mistake the margin of victory for a simple win-loss outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- 76ers 100%
- Cavaliers 0%
View this market on Polymarket →