Houston Astros vs. Athletics
The market favoured Houston Astros at 55% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$370k
Total volume$370k
Liquidity$0
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 99% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 92% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 63% |
| 26 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 55% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Houston Astros" if they win the scheduled game on September 27, and to "Athletics" if they win. The outcome depends solely on the official final statistics of that specific match, not the team's overall season standing or division title. Readers often mistakenly believe the linked headline about clinching the AL West determines the result, but only the winner of this single game counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Houston Astros 100%
- Athletics 0%
View this market on Polymarket →