Pistons vs. Heat
The market favoured Pistons at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.6M
Total volume$899
Liquidity$58k
Resolved24 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Oct, 22:04 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The Pistons outcome resolves if Detroit wins the scheduled October 23 game against Miami. The Heat outcome resolves if Miami wins that same game. Readers often mistake the linked Celtics game for the relevant contest, but only the final score of the Pistons-Heat matchup counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Pistons 100%
- Heat 0%
View this market on Polymarket →