Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured Yes at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 29 Oct, 03:21 UTC | 100% |
| 29 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 99% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 05:10 UTC | 92% |
| 28 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 91% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 96% |
| 28 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 22:44 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 97% |
| 27 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 12:39 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 83% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 84% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 83% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 68% |
| 25 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 63% |
| 25 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 09:43 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 08:16 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 71% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 70% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 63% |
| 23 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 64% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 65% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 65% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Brewers are eliminated from contention before the series concludes. Readers often mistake the linked Padres news for a relevant event, but only the final World Series winner matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →