Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?
The market favoured Yes at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 68% |
| 14 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 70% |
| 14 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 71% |
| 14 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 72% |
| 14 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 71% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 72% |
| 14 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 73% |
| 13 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 76% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 76% |
| 11 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 78% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Liverpool FC wins the match scheduled for October 14, 2026, based on the score at the end of regular time plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the official result recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Readers often mistake the final whistle time for the deadline, but the market remains open if the game is postponed until it is completed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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