Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
The market favoured Over at 57% a day out, but Under won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$454k
Total volume$458k
Liquidity$331k
Resolved18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 15:29 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 49% |
| 18 Oct, 12:28 UTC | 50% |
| 18 Oct, 11:33 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 53% |
| 18 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 52% |
| 18 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 54% |
| 18 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 56% |
| 17 Oct, 05:30 UTC | 56% |
What counts
The Over outcome occurs if Leeds United and Manchester United score three or more goals combined during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their total is less than three goals. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the market closes immediately when the match ends, but it remains open until the official final score is published on premierleague.com.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 0%
- Under 100%
View this market on Polymarket →