Will West Indies win?
Why it moved: +22 points at 05:23 UTC, after Times of India: Seven years later, India bowlers recreate New Zealand's World Cup nightmare — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 52% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Nov, 06:25 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 67% |
| 7 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the West Indies win the Test match by any standard method, including DLS adjustments or tiebreakers like a Super Over. It resolves to No only if Bangladesh wins; otherwise, it settles as a draw if the game is canceled, abandoned without a result, or fails to start by November 6, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 52%
- No 48%
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