Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Implied probability 2%−2
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 18:49 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 17:31 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 10:02 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 08:36 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cristiano Ronaldo physically attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony in London on October 26, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not attend or if the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked suspension news as relevant, but only actual attendance at the ceremony matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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