Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
Implied probability 49%−6
24-hour volume$38k
Total volume$46k
Liquidity$230k
Resolves10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 10 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 49% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 50% |
| 10 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 54% |
| 8 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 56% |
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What counts
FC Barcelona wins if they beat Getafe by three goals or more in regulation time. Otherwise, Getafe CF wins. Readers often mistake the margin requirement, thinking any win counts instead of a victory by at least three goals.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- FC Barcelona 49%
- Getafe CF 52%
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