Exact Score: Italy 0 - 3 Türkiye?
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$25k
Resolved5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 23:02 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 17:51 UTC | 1% |
What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if the match ends with exactly Italy scoring zero goals and Türkiye scoring three goals within 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The "No" outcome applies to any other final score, including draws or different goal totals. Readers often mistake the deadline by thinking extra time or penalty shoot-outs count toward the result, but these are explicitly excluded from the resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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