Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Implied probability 97%+48
24-hour volume$792k
Total volume$877k
Liquidity$37k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 49% |
| 4 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 50% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 47% |
| 28 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 45% |
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What counts
The Bears outcome triggers if they win by four points or more. The Jets outcome triggers if they win or lose by three points or fewer. Readers often mistake the final score for the margin, ignoring that a one-point loss still counts as a Jets win.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bears 97%
- Jets 3%
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