Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 7 Nov, 07:21 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Nov, 06:25 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Nov, 02:46 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Nov, 00:09 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 21:01 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Nov, 21:01 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if a court issues an order that stops or suspends paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts by December 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome depends on the existence of such an order, not whether it remains in effect later. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the legal process rather than the date the order must be issued.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%
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