SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?
Why it moved: −10 points at 14:56 UTC, after Bloomberg Technology: AST SpaceMobile to Build Own Rocket to Compete with SpaceX — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 7 Nov, 05:57 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 21% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 22% |
| 6 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 24% |
| 6 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 25% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 26% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 33% |
| 6 Nov, 11:29 UTC | 31% |
| 6 Nov, 10:56 UTC | 30% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 28% |
| 6 Nov, 09:58 UTC | 28% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 15:25 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 13:52 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 13:23 UTC | 27% |
| 4 Nov, 20:45 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 18% |
| 4 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 14:44 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 31% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the outcome to be Yes, the general public must be able to purchase and activate a U.S. mobile phone plan with voice, text, and data services from SpaceX or its controlled entities by June 30, 2027. The service must allow direct access without requiring third-party internet applications for core functions like calling or texting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%
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