Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
The market favoured New York Yankees at 61% a day out, but Tampa Bay Rays won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$905k
Total volume$911k
Liquidity$0
Resolved15 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 8 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 92% |
| 8 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 72% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 40% |
| 8 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 41% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 40% |
| 6 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 41% |
What counts
The market resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win the scheduled game, and to New York Yankees if they win. If the game is postponed, it stays open until completion; if canceled with no makeup or tied, it splits evenly. Readers often mistake the linked story about Game 2 for the resolution criteria, but this market depends solely on the outcome of the October 7 game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays 100%
- New York Yankees 0%
View this market on Polymarket →