Spread: Alabama (-5.5)
The market favoured Alabama at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$695k
Total volume$698k
Liquidity$467k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 74% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 55% |
| 3 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 51% |
What counts
Alabama wins if they beat Mississippi State by six points or more. Otherwise, Mississippi State wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not the betting line.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Alabama 100%
- Mississippi State 0%
View this market on Polymarket →