Spread: Texas (-5.5)
Implied probability 49%
24-hour volume$287k
Total volume$291k
Liquidity$311k
Resolves26 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 02:46 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 16:33 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 00:16 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 18:33 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 12:54 UTC | 48% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 51% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Texas wins if it beats Tennessee by six points or more. Tennessee wins if Texas loses or wins by five points or fewer. The deadline is the final score of the scheduled game, not betting lines.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Texas 49%
- Tennessee 52%
Trade this market on Polymarket →