Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
The market favoured Tampa Bay Rays at 51% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.1M
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$0
Resolved25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 100% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 81% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 73% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 10:47 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 07:34 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 50% |
| 17 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 23:02 UTC | 52% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 51% |
What counts
The market resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win the scheduled game on October 16 at 6:00 PM ET. It resolves to Cleveland Guardians if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the linked story headline for the resolution, but only the official final statistics of this specific October 16 game count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays 100%
- Cleveland Guardians 0%
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