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Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?

Implied probability 13%−2
24-hour volume$20
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
How the odds moved · Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?
0%50%100%13%30 Oct, 17:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now13%
31 Oct, 16:15 UTC13%
31 Oct, 15:59 UTC15%
31 Oct, 15:15 UTC15%
31 Oct, 12:54 UTC14%
31 Oct, 11:42 UTC16%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC16%
31 Oct, 10:38 UTC16%
31 Oct, 09:24 UTC16%
31 Oct, 08:56 UTC16%
31 Oct, 08:28 UTC15%
31 Oct, 07:39 UTC17%
31 Oct, 07:11 UTC17%
31 Oct, 06:57 UTC17%
31 Oct, 06:15 UTC17%
31 Oct, 05:33 UTC17%
31 Oct, 05:19 UTC16%
31 Oct, 04:57 UTC15%
31 Oct, 04:21 UTC18%
31 Oct, 03:31 UTC17%
31 Oct, 03:24 UTC18%
31 Oct, 02:33 UTC17%
31 Oct, 02:19 UTC17%
31 Oct, 01:46 UTC17%
31 Oct, 00:57 UTC17%
30 Oct, 22:40 UTC16%
30 Oct, 22:26 UTC14%
30 Oct, 20:08 UTC14%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC14%
30 Oct, 18:03 UTC17%
30 Oct, 17:56 UTC16%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk and Vladimir Putin have a direct personal interaction, such as a conversation or handshake, in person before March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome depends on credible reporting confirming that both individuals were present and actively engaged with each other. Readers often mistake mere proximity or shared attendance at an event for a qualifying meeting.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 13%
  • No 87%

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