Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$68k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 03:35 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 21:05 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 0% |
| 30 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Vladimir Putin permanently loses his office before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Temporary absences, caretaker roles, or mere resignation announcements do not count as permanent removal. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2027 instead of late 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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