Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5)
The market favoured North Carolina at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$79k
Total volume$84k
Liquidity$97k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 52% |
What counts
Notre Dame wins if they beat North Carolina by 22 points or more. Otherwise, North Carolina wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not the scheduled start time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Notre Dame 0%
- North Carolina 100%
View this market on Polymarket →