Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
Implied probability 3%−13
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves6 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 6% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 8% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 10% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 16% |
| 30 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 11:39 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 11:05 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 17% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on whether Donald Trump makes between 180 and 199 qualifying posts on Truth Social during the specified week. Only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward this total, while direct replies are excluded. Readers often mistake the tracker's figure for the final authority, but the official resolution relies on the specific Post Counter data at the provided URL.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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