Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$711
Total volume$70k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 23:15 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 22:05 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 08:17 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 07:25 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 04:36 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 03:04 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 02:50 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome triggers if Javier Milei permanently leaves his office before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Temporary absences, caretaker roles, or mere resignation announcements do not count toward this result. Readers often mistake temporary suspensions or interim arrangements for a final removal from power.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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