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Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?

Implied probability 99%+60
24-hour volume$1.5M
Total volume$2.4M
Liquidity$141k
Resolves4 Nov 2026

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if the race remains uncalled by all resolution sources until official certification.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 99%
  • No 1%

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