Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins or if the race remains uncalled by all resolution sources until official certification.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%