Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?
Implied probability 10%+1
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Apr 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 9% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Sept, 08:00 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 05:11 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Sept, 15:16 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Đuro Macut wins the next Serbian presidential election, including any second round. The No outcome applies if he does not win. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the result (March 31, 2028) as the date of the election itself.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 91%
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