Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs
The market favoured Chicago Cubs at 62% a day out, but Miami Marlins won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$387k
Total volume$997
Liquidity$189k
Resolved30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 78% |
| 24 Sept, 01:58 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Sept, 00:55 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 00:23 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 38% |
What counts
The market resolves to Miami Marlins if they win the game and Chicago Cubs if they win. It stays open if postponed but closes if canceled or tied. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it ends at the scheduled start time rather than when the game actually concludes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Miami Marlins 100%
- Chicago Cubs 0%
View this market on Polymarket →