Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?
The market favoured No at 61% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.4M
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$1.2M
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 39% |
| 31 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 40% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal FC wins the match scheduled for November 1, 2026, based on the score at the end of regular time plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if Arsenal does not win, including draws or losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the result depends on extra time or penalties, but only the 90-minute regular play outcome counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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