Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?
Implied probability 35%−2
24-hour volume$20
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 37% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 08:30 UTC | 37% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 05:16 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Sept, 20:53 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 18:22 UTC | 18% |
| 24 Sept, 18:07 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if 2026 ranks between 10th and 12th in total annual domestic box office gross among all recorded years, based on unadjusted nominal figures from Box Office Mojo. The outcome depends on the final 2026 value compared against every other year listed on that specific chart, with ties favoring the higher rank.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 66%
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