Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Why it moved: −6 points at 19:25 UTC, after South China Morning Post: Trump names Stephen Miller chief of staff, replacing Susie Wiles after midterm losses — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 20:09 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 17% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 16% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 22% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 14:47 UTC | 24% |
| 5 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 00:37 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 00:16 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 07:41 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 01:42 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 17:10 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 09:45 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 08:22 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 00:56 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 16:36 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 08:49 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
Yes resolves if the White House or Donald Trump officially announces Anna Kelly as the permanent Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. No resolves if someone else is announced in that role by the deadline, if the position is abolished, or if no replacement is named.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 84%
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