Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 970m and 975m by October 31?
Implied probability 0%−2
24-hour volume$42
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 07:41 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 23:13 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 22:59 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 21:16 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:52 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:00 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 09:52 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 08:50 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 06:27 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 05:45 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 04:27 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 23:23 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 22:10 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 20:26 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 17:25 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 13:51 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 10:23 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 4% |
| 29 Sept, 08:27 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 07:17 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 3% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the total domestic box office gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day falls between $970 million and $975 million by October 31, 2026. The final figure comes from the "Daily Box Office Performance" tab on The Numbers website once all daily values are confirmed as final rather than estimates.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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