Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The market favoured No at 56% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$0
Resolved13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 39% |
| 5 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 43% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if at least one run scores in the first inning of the Yankees vs. Rays game. It resolves to No if no runs score in that specific period. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, but the outcome depends on the official final statistics from MLB.com.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →