Falcons vs. Saints
The market favoured Saints at 53% a day out, but Falcons won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$4.8M
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$42k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 6 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 100% |
| 5 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 49% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 08:34 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 47% |
| 2 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 45% |
What counts
The Falcons outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 5 at 8:15 PM ET. The Saints outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake player injuries for a change in the resolution criteria, but only the final game result matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Falcons 100%
- Saints 0%
View this market on Polymarket →