Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 10?
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves10 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 0% |
| 9 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 2% |
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What counts
The market resolves based on the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on October 10, 2026. The outcome depends on whether this specific daily maximum reaches or exceeds 28°C as reported in the Observatory's finalized Daily Extract. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Golden Week for the relevant data source, but only the official weather report counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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