Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
The market favoured Tampa Bay Rays at 60% a day out, but Cleveland Guardians won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$883k
Total volume$885k
Liquidity$0
Resolved20 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 100% |
| 13 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 60% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 41% |
What counts
The Cleveland Guardians outcome resolves if they win the scheduled MLB game on October 12 at 8:00 PM ET. The Tampa Bay Rays outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the linked ALDS story for the actual event, but this market depends solely on the result of the specific October 12 matchup.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Cleveland Guardians 100%
- Tampa Bay Rays 0%
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