Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card)
The market favoured Piero Guaylupo at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$80k
Total volume$81k
Liquidity$0
Resolved23 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 23 Sept, 00:28 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 35% |
| 22 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 51% |
| 22 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 50% |
| 21 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 51% |
What counts
Callum Connor wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight against Piero Guaylupo. Piero Guaylupo wins if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the resolution source, which is official UFC information, not news reports or social media.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Callum Connor 0%
- Piero Guaylupo 100%
View this market on Polymarket →