Jaguars vs. Ravens
The market favoured Jaguars at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3.8M
Total volume$128k
Liquidity$578k
Resolved6 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 6 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 80% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 81% |
| 4 Nov, 20:06 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 83% |
| 3 Nov, 21:03 UTC | 82% |
| 2 Nov, 17:19 UTC | 80% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 80% |
| 2 Nov, 12:42 UTC | 80% |
| 2 Nov, 02:44 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Nov, 01:10 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 77% |
| 1 Nov, 23:00 UTC | 76% |
| 1 Nov, 22:53 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 65% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The Jaguars outcome resolves if the Jaguars win the scheduled NFL game on November 5 at 8:15 PM ET, including any overtime. The Ravens outcome resolves if the Ravens win that same game. Readers often mistake the linked headline about a rookie quarterback for the resolution criteria, but only the final game winner matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Jaguars 100%
- Ravens 0%
View this market on Polymarket →