Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Implied probability 5%+1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves4 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 07:07 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 02:53 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Nov, 01:55 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 22:14 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 21:23 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 18:34 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 16:43 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Donald Trump’s approval rating reaches 30% or lower on any day in 2026, as recorded by Silver Bulletin. The No outcome applies if his rating stays above that threshold for the entire year. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but only data from Silver Bulletin counts, not other polls or news headlines.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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